Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 8.250016 9.437069 10.748636 12.307588 14.113126 16.142066 18.599904
2025-07-20 6.754809 8.315589 10.180931 12.583409 15.608527 19.308018 24.200694
2025-07-27 5.959698 7.736226 9.983844 13.054183 17.167228 22.525885 30.100001
2025-08-03 5.121631 6.932971 9.330604 12.763854 17.598583 24.230117 34.128878
2025-08-10 4.518602 6.340562 8.847891 12.587750 18.088603 25.982391 38.347795
2025-08-17 4.041157 5.853508 8.435013 12.428062 18.534951 27.662460 42.600588
2025-08-24 3.638104 5.422130 8.043344 12.233488 18.873379 29.174070 46.726037
2025-08-31 3.287588 5.028440 7.659565 11.994282 19.091346 30.487017 50.647137
2025-09-07 3.152727 4.948319 7.739860 12.480026 20.500541 33.835793 58.345733
2025-09-14 2.960174 4.755967 7.620211 12.619662 21.337462 36.303973 64.800683
2025-09-21 2.756369 4.525002 7.413449 12.585652 21.861212 38.269758 70.566779
2025-09-28 2.554598 4.278617 7.156907 12.435528 22.154323 39.839244 75.759847
2025-10-05 2.463118 4.214698 7.208817 12.842734 23.514468 43.536646 85.620410
2025-10-12 2.359282 4.119745 7.197199 13.131375 24.681302 46.997136 95.476991
2025-10-19 2.294312 4.087441 7.292295 13.624321 26.287126 51.483887 108.073459
2025-10-26 2.123615 3.847789 6.987621 13.320307 26.279414 52.721180 113.823592
2025-11-02 1.984848 3.656194 6.756082 13.135915 26.490858 54.424429 120.825293
2025-11-09 1.860718 3.482410 6.543776 12.968719 26.717060 56.175754 128.163663
2025-11-16 1.743061 3.311975 6.324052 12.765008 26.841709 57.713350 135.197580
2025-11-23 1.630123 3.142289 6.092388 12.514585 26.836924 58.956469 141.677486
2025-11-30 1.606391 3.148320 6.212707 13.023125 28.571833 64.360136 159.349763
2025-12-07 1.546801 3.076908 6.168755 13.169327 29.494348 67.964932 172.912282
2025-12-14 1.473890 2.972593 6.048138 13.133718 29.987458 70.590947 184.253567